Piping forecast assumes an unproven recovery.
Productivity rises from 0.78 to 0.91 in the remaining-work forecast. No approved mitigation supporting that recovery is linked in the sample records.
Inspect evidence and proposed decision
Basis: earned hours ÷ actual hours = 0.78; forecast assumes 0.91. Exposure range varies recovery timing and remaining hours at the forecast labour rate.
Review: validate quantities and cut-off alignment; request a resourced recovery plan or revise ETC. No forecast change is approved automatically.